21 April 2006

Tracking Satellites

Philip Chien

© 2006 by Philip Chien, Earth News

Since the earliest days of the space program, amateur astronomers and sky watchers have viewed artificial satellites. A satellite is visible when it's illuminated by the sun while the observer on the ground is in relative darkness (dusk or dawn). It's the same solar geometry that permits you to see the glow of dawn up a mountain top when it's still dark in a valley. But what's special about satellites is they're moving rapidly across the sky.

Low altitude satellites travel at 28,000 km (17,500 miles) per hour and take up to nine minutes to go across the sky. Under the best circumstances, large, highly reflective satellites can be as bright as Venus, and under extraordinary circumstances certain satellites can be even brighter. The best tools for observing satellites are the naked eye, clear skies, and a relatively non-light polluted area.

Articles in Scientific American's "The Amateur Scientist" column at the beginning of the space age described how to view satellites. In one article instructions were given for using a sheet of glass held at a 45 degree angle to observe the satellite's reflection. Another article described how a short wave radio could be used to monitor the satellite's transmissions and use its Doppler shift to determine when the satellite passed closest to the observer. Later improvements included graphic charts with grease pencils that could plot a satellite's orbit on a map. By the mid 1980s, primitive satellite tracking programs were written for the early Apple, Commodore, and IBM computers, and they've improved over time.

Satellite Tracking Software and Activities

Today satellite tracking is almost trivial thanks to online satellite tracking programs, Java real-time satellite tracking maps, and even satellite tracking programs for PDAs. But what you can do with satellite tracking still makes it a fascinating hobby - from novice through expert.

At the novice level, the web site http://www.heavens-above.com/ will automatically predict which satellites are visible each day from any given location on Earth. More advanced activities include:

● Using a shareware tracking program to make your own predictions or to track a satellite's location in real-time.

● Using a radio receiver and frequency counter to track a satellite's Doppler shift as it passes overhead.

● Listening to radar signals as they're bounced off of satellites.

● Decoding data from weather and scientific satellites.

● Creating your own satellite tracking data based on your visual observations.

● High level analysis of tracking information.

Orbital Parameters

Satellites obey Newton's laws of physics, except in lousy Hollywood movies, novels, and inaccurate stories about the space program. A satellite in an orbit 383,000 km (238,000 miles) above the Earth, like the moon, takes one month to make an orbit. A satellite in an orbit about 241 km (150 miles) above the Earth, like the International Space Station, takes about 90 minutes to make an orbit.

There are several formats for specifying the orbit of a satellite. One format specifies a satellite's X, Y, and Z coordinates and velocity at a given point in time. A more common format specifies the shape of the orbit and its orientation relative to the Earth. Satellite tracking programs take this raw data and use it to predict where the satellite will be at any given moment. In a "perfect" universe with only two point mass objects, a satellite tracking program would accurately predict the satellite's orbit indefinitely.

But the Earth isn't a point mass, and it isn't homogeneous. The Earth is oblate (its equatorial diameter is slightly greater than its polar diameter). Satellites in low altitude orbits can experience drag from wisps of atmosphere. In certain orbits, perturbations caused by the sun and moon are important factors. Satellite tracking programs take these factors into account to some degree.

The most common format for satellite tracking information is the Two Line Element (TLE) format. Actually there are three lines: a title line with the common name for the satellite and two lines of numerical data. TLEs for all unclassified satellites are available on the web, and TLEs generated by amateur satellite observers for many classified satellites are also available. There's an archive of all of the TLEs which were released during the last flight of the shuttle Columbia on my web site http://www.sts107.info/mission/STS-107%20tles.txt.


First TLE Set Issued During the STS-107 Mission (Columbia)

Here is the first set of TLEs issued during the STS-107 mission:

STS 107
1 27647U 03003A 03016.79298380 .00022003 20216-8 46617-4 0 16
2 27647 39.0169 228.2757 0012366 350.5306 131.3443 15.97537444 30

The first line of data begins with the object's serial number, STS-107. The second line indicates that STS-107 was the 27,647th object tracked in space. 03003A indicates that the launch was the third launch of 2003, and it was the primary object (A) of that mission. 03016.7929380 is the Epoch time as a decimal date (16.798380 days into the year 2003). The next four sets of values aren't important for most hobbyists. "16" is actually two values. "1" indicates it's the first set of tracking data released for the mission, and "6" is a mod 10 checksum.

The second line of data includes the following information: The orbit had an inclination of 39.0169, a Right Ascension of Ascending Node (RAAN) of 228.2757, an eccentricity of .0012366, and Argument of Perigee of 350.5306, a Mean Anomaly of 131.3443, and it made 15.97537444 orbits each day. The final digit is a checksum of zero (0). Don't worry if you don't understand all the values or what they mean.

From this data it's easy to determine that the orbital period was 90.137 minutes (1440 minutes in a day divided by 15.97537444 orbits per day), and use Kepler's laws to determine that the orbit had a perigee (low point) of 280.09 km, and a apogee (high point) of 296.560 km.

The Columbia Disaster

One of the most fascinating puzzles that I've participated in solving was a satellite tracking mystery after the Columbia accident (Fig. 1). After the accident there was an intense examination of any data that could help determine what had happened. USSTRATCOM went through all of its raw radar data to see if there was something which could have been missed during the mission. Orbital mechanics experts were able to determine that an object came off Columbia about a day after launch. By connecting the dots between the various radar observations, an orbit could be constructed. It was given the serial number 27713. Since the object was far smaller and more dense, it gradually separated from Columbia, its altitude decreased, and it reentered the Earth's atmosphere on 20 January and burned up.

The analysis of the mystery object's orbit is described here. At first only small amounts of information were made available, including the rough time the object was first noticed, the day it reentered, a rough size for the object based on the strength of the radar returns, and the fact that it reentered over the Pacific Ocean.

How quickly the object's orbit decayed until it reentered was one of the most important things to determine. If the object was a light object with a large surface area, the drag from the Earth's atmosphere would cause the orbit to decay more quickly than if it was a small, dense, aerodynamically shaped object.

Determining what the object was made of was one of the key puzzles which could solve why the Columbia accident occurred.With the sketchy data available, amateur satellite tracker Ted Molczan was able to derive an approximate orbit that gave an indication of the object's density. Ted and I were able to determine that the most likely candidate was a piece of Reinforced Carbon-Carbon (RCC) the gray thermal insulating material that projects the shuttle from reentry heat in the areas that receive the most heating, such as the leading edge of the wing. That conclusion matched the analysis by the Columbia Accident Investigation Board that was released several weeks after we announced our conclusions.

The most likely candidate for the mystery object is a piece of the T-seal that connects adjacent RCCs. This was one of the key clues that helped determine what happened to Columbia. The 0.76 kg (1.67 lb) piece of foam that fell off during the launch struck the wing and damaged the RCC. After a day of heating and cooling cycles, a piece of RCC came loose and gradually drifted away from Columbia unnoticed. During Columbia's reentry the intense heat entered the breach in the wing and led to Columbia's destruction.

Philip Chien is the author of the book "Columbia-Final Voyage" about STS-107, the story of the mission and the people on Columbia's last space shuttle mission. Now available from
Springer Books. More information is available at his web site.


 
Figure 1. John Young and Bob Crippen were strapped into their seats as Columbia lifted off on 12 April 1981 and began the Space Shuttle era. NASA photograph.
 
   
Copyright 2005 by Society for Amateur Scientists