Earthquakes and Global
Warming
Editor,
In the news article "Do
You Live in an Earthquake Hazard Region?" (TCS,
11 March 2005) Forrest Mims suggests that living in an earthquake
prone area would be a reason to be interested in building
a seismograph. Actually, even living in a very active region
would be boring waiting for something local to happen. It
would be best to build a seismograph capable of distant events
wherever you live. Every day such an instrument will provide
something interesting to look at. This web page http://www.seismicnet.com/index.html
is probably the best place to start for anyone interesting
in getting into amateur seismology.
About global warming (see Editorial,
11 March 2005), It seems like you don't see much discussion
of the deeper issues surrounding the topic. For example, you
hear a lot of discussion on about whether warming is primarily
manmade or due to natural variation. There seems to be an
assumption here that if it is manmade we should try and prevent
it. Conversely if it were natural we should not try to prevent
it. I am not sure about this line of reasoning. It could be
that if it is man made there is a moral obligation to stop
doing what it is that causes warming. Or, if it is natural,
we could not possibly do anything to stop the warming. Both
of these ideas are subject to question in my mind. Assuming
that the warming is real and going to continue, we (the world
community) should really be discussing what is the most likely
to succeed and least costly (in all respects) method of dealing
with the situation. I see three options along with many variations.
1. Do nothing. 2. Try to stop the warming. 3. Plan to adapt
to the changes.
One of the arguments I have heard recently
is that a lot of the objections to the Kyoto accord are coming
from economists rather than climate scientists. (The climate
scientists are saying that the economists do not know anything
about climate change, and their opinion is worthless.) The
problem here is that the economists do know about how the
proposed solution (cutting back on carbon dioxide emissions)
will affect the global economy. If the economy is affected
too much, all the effort will come to a stop. It seems like
we need to listen to a variety of expertise before we decide
on an approach to climate change.
Jim Hannon
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